nfl betting predictions week 11

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Nfl betting predictions week 11 72 hole group betting websites

Nfl betting predictions week 11

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Andy Reid's teams are after a bye during the regular season. Patrick Mahomes' worst loss of his career came in Week 5, when he threw his only interception of the season as the Raiders won at Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City will run the ball better and play improved defense to split the season series.

Pick: Chiefs win but fail to cover the spread. The Cardinals took over first place with their improbable last-second win against the Bills. They also survived the Seahawks in overtime in Week 7. Ball control plus a hyper-efficient, lower-volume Wilson gets Seattle back on track. Pick: Seahawks win and cover the spread.

The Rams' defense is playing at high level. It will be easier for Tom Brady to manufacture offense with the versatile playmakers around him than it will be for Jared Goff on the road. The Ravens realize their chances of winning the AFC North again are fading, so they'll focus on making sure they at least lock up the wild card with Lamar Jackson. Their memories of being upset by the Titans at home in last season's playoffs should prompt them to play better in the rematch.

The Titans' defense is wilting while the Ravens can still count on theirs as a backbone, despite key injuries. Jackson is more comfortable at home than Ryan Tannehill is on the road. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have a challenge against a defense that is very good against the pass and pretty good against the run.

But they should also appreciate not needing to deal with the elements of Lambeau Field. The Colts will have success with their deep backfield as they try to shorten the game with ball control and limit Rodgers' chances. Pick: Packers win Their defense will play better and keep them in this tough game in the Cleveland weather, but Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will make the difference again for the Browns in a low-scoring game. The Lions should have Matthew Stafford rolling into Charlotte after finally fining the right dose of dynamic rookie running back D'Andre Swift.

The Panthers' defense has fallen apart at every level in recent weeks and the Lions have struck a good balance between ball control and explosiveness. The Texans are terrible against the run. Deshaun Watson can give a strong response after his weather-related clunker in Cleveland, thanks to Will Fuller and former Patriot Brandin Cooks.

But look for Bill Belichick to get the better of his former defensive coordinator, Romeo Crennel. Pick: Patriots win and cover the spread. The Jaguars fit that category. That makes this one of the NFL's most fascinating matchups of the week, as New Orleans tries to keep its six-game win streak alive against its biggest rival. Hill, who has been used mainly in run situations, has attempted only 18 passes in his NFL career.

But Payton will call plays to show that Hill can be effective with his arm, too. They have the third-best offensive efficiency In those first five weeks, they were 21st Injuries: Falcons Saints. What to know for fantasy: Atlanta QB Matt Ryan will look to establish some fantasy consistency with a healthy roster. This season, Ryan has as many finishes as a top-eight quarterback as he does weeks outside the top 20 three apiece.

Betting nugget: Atlanta is against the spread ATS in its past eight road games. Matchup must-reads: How have the Falcons been different under Morris? What to watch for: Patriots cornerback J. Jackson has intercepted a pass in five consecutive games, the longest streak since Reggie Nelson in But while Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson has thrown five interceptions this season, he hasn't thrown one since Week 5. The Texans are allowing an average of Stat to know: The Patriots have a It's a vast improvement from the team's Newton, who is seeking his first three-game win streak as a starting quarterback since Weeks of , has a Injuries: Patriots Texans.

What to know for fantasy: Complaining about the Patriots' backfield in fantasy needs to stop. Matchup must-reads: Belichick's hoodies explained: A visual history of the Patriots coach's most memorable looks Against Browns -- and in -- the Texans have no solid answer at running back Newton after upset win: Patriots can show they're better than What to watch for: Jaguars rookie quarterback Jake Luton is making his third start and facing the league's best pass rush.

Watt and Bud Dupree. If the Jaguars are going to be able to stay close and potentially pull the upset, it's going to fall heavily on offensive tackles Cam Robinson and Jawaan Taylor keeping Watt and Dupree off Luton and giving him enough time to get the ball out. Bold prediction: The Steelers will hold rookie running back James Robinson to 50 yards or fewer.

Robinson has earned high praise from the Steelers' coaches and players leading into this matchup -- and with good reason. He's averaging yards per game in the past three games, but the Steelers look to be back at nearly full strength in the run defense with the return of Tyson Alualu knee a week ago and Mike Hilton shoulder trending toward playing this week.

Without the pair, the Steelers' run defense was woeful against the Cowboys and Ravens, but it'll be motivated to prove it is an elite unit when healthy. Stat to know: When the Steelers and Jaguars meet Sunday, it'll match the sixth-largest differential in win percentage in Week 10 or later in the Super Bowl era excluding strike-shortened seasons. The Jaguars have allowed at least 24 points in eight consecutive games this season, their longest streak of allowing plus points in franchise history.

On the other side, the Steelers have scored plus in all nine of their games this season, tied with the Saints for most in the NFL. Injuries: Steelers Jaguars. What to know for fantasy: Robinson has just 3 yards on seven targets over the past two weeks, after posting more than 7 yards per target earlier this season. A return to versatility is almost essential this weekend against the NFL's best defense in terms of running back fantasy points allowed. Betting nugget: Pittsburgh is ATS as a double-digit road favorite under coach Mike Tomlin, with four outright losses.

Matchup must-reads: Steelers get what they needed going into potential trap game vs. Jaguars headed for dubious distinction under owner Shad Khan Jaguars show growth in nearly pulling off upset at Green Bay What to watch for: Can Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz , who has thrown as many interceptions this season as touchdowns 12 , get anything going?

He will have to take care of the ball in what figures to be another bad-weather game in Cleveland. Bold prediction: The Browns will score a defensive touchdown. Outside of last weekend's game against the Giants, Wentz has been very giving with the football, turning it over 16 times. Cleveland is tied for fourth with 15 takeaways and will take one to the house on Sunday. Stat to know: Cleveland quarterback Baker Mayfield has zero passing touchdowns in each of his past two games.

That's his longest streak without a passing TD since going three straight games without one at Texas Tech in He also has fewer than passing yards in these past two games for the longest such streak of his career NFL and college. Injuries: Eagles Browns. What to know for fantasy: Both Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb have been top running backs in three of their four fully healthy games together this season for Cleveland. Betting nugget: The Browns have failed to cover in each of their past four games.

Matchup must-reads: Enough with making excuses for Eagles' Wentz Chubb's return powers Browns No fans at Eagles games amid spike in virus. What to watch for: Washington's offense has come alive of late, surpassing yards in consecutive games. It hasn't topped that total in three straight games since Weeks of the season, but the Bengals allow It'll be interesting to see how well Washington runs the ball.

It ranks 30th in rushing yards per game and 28th in yards per carry, but Cincinnati ranks 27th in yards allowed per game and 31st in yards allowed per carry. Bold prediction: Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow will pass for plus yards. While it might not look bold on the surface, Washington enters Sunday's game with the top passing defense in the NFL. It will be a good test for Burrow, who is coming off a rough game against the Steelers in Week Stat to know: Washington wide receiver Terry McLaurin quietly has at least seven receptions in four consecutive games, the longest streak by a Washington player in the past 70 seasons and tied with Green Bay's Davante Adams for the longest active streak in the NFL.

Injuries: Bengals Washington. What to know for fantasy: Washington running back J. McKissic is averaging 6. Betting nugget: Cincinnati is outright in its past 18 road games -- but it is ATS in those games.

Matchup must-reads: Burrow "not a quitter," and he'll need that resolve to revive Bengals Final stretch important gauge of Bengals' rebuild with Taylor, Burrow Washington's Rivera says QB Smith has proved "he's back". What to watch for: Will either team get enough pressure on the quarterback to disrupt the other's offense, particularly the Lions since there's some question on whom Carolina might start at quarterback?

Even if Teddy Bridgewater plays, his sprained knee might limit his mobility. Neither team has been very good at producing sacks. The Panthers rank 27th in the league with 11, and the Lions are 25th with Bold prediction: Lions running back Adrian Peterson will have 75 yards rushing and a touchdown in a vintage outing against a Carolina run defense allowing Stat to know: Detroit wide receiver Marvin Jones has a receiving TD in three straight games, tied for the longest streak of his career Weeks of He is fresh off an eight-catch, yard receiving day versus Washington in Week Injuries: Lions Panthers.

What to know for fantasy: No defense is allowing more receiving yards per game to running backs than the Lions Fun fact: There has yet to be a game this season in which multiple Davis targets hit the ground. Betting nugget: Carolina is ATS at home this season. Matchup must-reads: Lions must keep giving Swift the ball As frustration sets in for young Panthers, Thompson speaks up Griffen, Peterson bond over wrestling matches McCaffrey likely out, Bridgewater questionable.

What to watch for: Just how often will the Broncos turn the ball over? They have lost five fumbles and thrown a league-leading 16 interceptions. The Dolphins are tied for fourth in the league in takeaways and have confused, in particular, the young quarterbacks they've faced. Keep an eye on the Broncos' offense in the three-wide receiver set, as all 16 interceptions have come from that this season. Bold prediction: The Dolphins will produce five or more sacks and multiple turnovers against the Broncos' offense.

Miami's multiple defense has frustrated offenses and quarterbacks all season but has only one game with five-plus sacks San Francisco. That changes this weekend whether it's a limited Drew Lock who threw four interceptions last Sunday or a backup under center, as the Dolphins' defense continues its ball-snatching ways while making it a rough day for Denver.

He also has already joined Damon Huard as the only Dolphins QBs to win their first three career starts and would be the first Dolphin to win his first four. Tagovailoa has five touchdowns and zero interceptions through three starts, joining Carson Wentz as the only rookie quarterbacks to win their first three starts and throw zero picks in the Super Bowl era since No rookie QB has achieved that feat over his first four starts during that span.

Injuries: Dolphins Broncos. What to know for fantasy: Week 4 was the most recent time Melvin Gordon had a touch gaining more than 11 yards. That was also the the most recent time the Denver running back ranked inside the top 20 at the position for a week. The name value and recognition far outweigh what he is giving your fantasy roster.

Why can't the Broncos' run game find its footing? Dolphins waive RB Howard in "mutual parting" Broncos "committed" to Lock but want him "to fight through this" Broncos' extreme makeover is their version of tanking for Tua. What to watch for: The Jets, who are looking to year-old Joe Flacco in place of an injured Sam Darnold , are in games started by QBs other than Darnold since the start of last season with Darnold.

The Chargers, meanwhile, will be looking to avoid their first start since Quarterback play shouldn't be a concern for them, though, as Justin Herbert has thrown multiple TDs in six consecutive games -- the longest streak by a rookie in NFL history, per Elias Sports Bureau research -- and is the only rookie in Chargers history with at least four yard passing games in a season.

The Jets will need to find a way to contain Herbert's big arm if they want to enter the win column this weekend. Bold prediction: Herbert will set a career high for passing yardage, meaning he will go north of on the day. The Jets' pass defense is awful, and there's a good chance it will be breaking in a new set of cornerbacks. The Jets could wind up starting three rookies in the secondary. Have at it, Justin. Stat to know: All seven of the Chargers' losses this season have been one-score games.

Injuries: Jets Chargers. What to know for fantasy: Chargers tight end Hunter Henry has seen at least six targets in four of his past five games, and while the production has been spotty, don't forget that he ranks as a per-game top player at the position among healthy options. Betting nugget: Six straight Los Angeles games have gone over the total, and the over is in Herbert starts.

Matchup must-reads: Gase: Jets trying to play young guys, not tank Killer handshake: How Chargers rookie Herbert learned to cope with losing


Pick: Packers win Their defense will play better and keep them in this tough game in the Cleveland weather, but Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will make the difference again for the Browns in a low-scoring game. The Lions should have Matthew Stafford rolling into Charlotte after finally fining the right dose of dynamic rookie running back D'Andre Swift. The Panthers' defense has fallen apart at every level in recent weeks and the Lions have struck a good balance between ball control and explosiveness.

The Texans are terrible against the run. Deshaun Watson can give a strong response after his weather-related clunker in Cleveland, thanks to Will Fuller and former Patriot Brandin Cooks. But look for Bill Belichick to get the better of his former defensive coordinator, Romeo Crennel. Pick: Patriots win and cover the spread. The Jaguars fit that category. With the running game struggling, Pittsburgh has been relentless with Ben Roethlisberger and his strong trio of wide receivers.

Jacksonville can't cover any of them. Pittsburgh will contain James Robinson and the Jacksonville running game and tee off on Jake Luton, the second consecutive rookie QB they'll be facing. Speaking of rookie QBs, Joe Burrow will bounce back from his brutal outing against the Steelers by working the middle the field and spreading the ball around against a Washington defense that is developing more holes.

Alex Smith will keep moving the ball for Washington with plenty of help from running backs Antonio Gibson and J. The Jets have to take a long flight after their bye. The Chargers should feel confident about Justin Herbert making big plays all over the field and having more success with its rushing committee.

Go for the former with LA at home. Pick: Chargers win and cover the spread. The Broncos are seeing Drew Lock fade as the turnovers pile up while Tua Tagovailoa is continuing his rise as the Dolphins' franchise quarterback. Miami will have success moving the ball with a balanced attack and Tagovailoa getting the ball out quickly.

The Dolphins' defense will force Lock into more mistakes after shutting down the run. Pick: Dolphins win and cover the spread. The Cowboys showed life on offense and defense in their close loss to the Steelers before the bye. They should be healthier and more effective in both the run and pass games with Ezekiel Elliott and Andy Dalton in the backfield.

The Vikings will be coming off a short week, and while Dalvin Cook should have another big game, their secondary is made to be exploited by the Cowboys' big playmaking wide receivers. Pick: Vikings win but fail to cover the spread. Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Football Team Ryan: Bengals. Kaye: Bengals.

Slater: Washington. Franklin: Bengals. Rosenblatt: Bengals. Giglio: Washington. Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers Kaye: Panthers. Slater: Panthers. Franklin: Panthers. Rosenblatt: Panthers. Giglio: Panthers. Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars. Ryan: Steelers. Kaye: Steelers. Slater: Jaguars.

Franklin: Steelers. Rosenblatt: Steelers. Giglio: Steelers. Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens Slater: Ravens. Franklin: Titans. Rosenblatt: Titans. Giglio: Ravens. New England Patriots -2 at Houston Texans. Kaye: Patriots. Slater: Patriots. Franklin: Patriots. Rosenblatt: Patriots. Giglio: Texans.

Miami Dolphins -3 at Denver Broncos. Ryan: Dolphins. Kaye: Dolphins. Slater: Broncos. Franklin: Dolphins. Rosenblatt: Dolphins. Giglio: Broncos. Kaye: Chargers. Slater: Chargers. Franklin: Jets. Rosenblatt: Chargers.

Giglio: Chargers. Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts Ryan: Packers. Slater: Colts. Franklin: Packers. Rosenblatt: Packers. Giglio: Packers. Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings Ryan: Vikings. Kaye: Vikings. Slater: Cowboys.

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PICK: Over If you can, wait until he is officially ruled in or out before making a pick. If Bridgewater is cleared to play, neither of these two defenses have shown the ability to stop anyone recently. With the playmakers available on both sides of the ball, the over is the way to go. If Walker is the starter, however, he will try to recreate some of those plays that made him an XFL sensation. But in the NFL, these can lead to big plays for the defense, and a couple of mistakes will be enough to get the Lions to cover.

The Chargers have played six straight over games, while the Jets are coming off a surprisingly high-scoring affair against the Patriots. While bettors expect the Jets to be a classic under team because of a bad offense, the team is just to the under this season. With a total If there is any time for the Jets to show an ounce of motivation, it is off of a bye with maximum time to prepare and maybe work in some quick-hitting plays to hit a Chargers defense that is bleeding points.

Reed Wallach : Miami is going to regress heavily once the turnovers even out over time. This win streak is a product of some favorable bounces that come back towards the median. This leads me to the under. I make this total closer to 41, so I see some value in the current line of The only way Denver hangs in this game is running the ball, which will eat away at the clock and avoid careless turnovers. Brandon Anderson : This feels like a mismatch and a game the Vikings certainly should win with relative ease.

Cook and the rushing attack are running all over opponents, and the Cowboys have a bottom-five run defense. It would have been hard to believe six weeks ago, but Dallas should have a seriously difficult time moving the ball or scoring on this Vikings defense. The Cowboys total is at Dallas has averaged You never know when Kirk Cousins might lay an egg, but playing at home with a solid defense and run attack against a bad team leaves no particular reason to worry. The Vikings should win by double digits, though it would sure feel better betting a 6.

The Vikings are a prime teaser candidate as things stand, perhaps with a Chiefs team coming out of a bye and looking for revenge on a similar line. But the better play is a Minnesota tease, then grabbing a piece of that Dallas under Raheem Palmer : The Colts have a top-five defense, but they allowed 27 points in a loss to Gardner Minshew and a 23rd-ranked Jaguars offense.

That could be forgiven given that it was the first week of the season in a year with limited training camp and no preseason. However, the Colts also gave up 27 points in a comeback win to rookie Joe Burrow and the Bengals in a Week 6 home game.

So how do the Colts slow down the Packers, who will be playing in a dome after weeks of playing in windy games that suppressed their offensive output? I like the Packers to win this game outright and recommend taking them with the points or the moneyline. Sports Betting. Best Books. Action Network Staff. Download App. Titans-Ravens 1 p. ET Eagles-Browns 1 p. ET Falcons-Saints 1 p. ET Steelers-Jaguars 1 p. ET Patriots-Texans 1 p. ET Bengals-Washington 1 p. ET Lions-Panthers 1 p.

ET Jets-Chargers p. Philadelphia has one of the best defensive lines in the NFL, tied for third with 31 sacks. The Ravens rank 21st in yards per play. They last scored more than 24 points in Week 6, and it could take more than that to beat Tennessee by a touchdown. The Titans are eighth in yards per play.

Pittsburgh just routed Cincinnati by 26 points. The Steelers have scored at least 24 points in every game and rank third in scoring defense. The Jaguars are against the spread in their last seven contests. The rookie quarterback has been sacked 32 times, including 31 times in the seven games that the Bengals failed to win. Alex Smith is coming off his best game since his comeback. Sunday could be no different, even against the winless Jets.

The Dolphins have been borderline dominant during their five-game winning streak, beating their opponents by an average score of Drew Lock has a Miami is an NFL-best against the spread. The Colts lead the AFC with 11 picks. The Vikings lead the NFL with 6. The Cowboys are giving up a league-high The Chiefs are averaging Kansas City is against the spread in its last 18 games.

Los Angeles leads the league in net yards per play.